This is the exit interview post for one of our favorite players in the big leagues, and one of our most important fantasy keepers on one of our most important fantasy teams.
Carlos Correa burst on the scene with a 2015 that saw him .279/.345/.512 with 22 home runs, 68 RBI and 14 steals in just 99 games. His line drive % was 22.4, his fWAR 3.4; the sky seemed the limit and many were predicting him to win the American League MVP award in 2016 for an Astros team that would roll to the World Series.
And then reality happened – the reality that baseball is a hard game and the Astros are probably just a year or so too young – and Correa showed that he was still pretty dang good at baseball.
His 2016 featured a slash line of .274/.361/.451 in 153 games. He homered 20 times and knocked in 96 while stealing 13 bags. His fWAR rose to 4.9 while his strikeout percentage also took an upward turn from 18.1% to 21.1%. His line drive rate was 22.4% again on the nose.
Advanced batting metrics show that he had some trouble with the curveball but improved on the fastball. It’s speculated that he played a good part of the season banged up, limping to the finish line with a balky shoulder.
Correa will not be 23 until next September, so the sky is still absolutely the limit. Correa is still a five category stud, and the Astros still play at Minute Maid which is friendly to hitters. They figure to have a nice lineup over the next several seasons, and they’ll undoubtedly only get better with some luck in the health department and another winter of seasoning across a lot of their young roster.
We said on our podcast before the 2016 season started that Correa was the one guy we couldn’t wait to watch. As winter approaches, and we’re down to two teams left in the postseason; he’s probably the number one guy we can’t wait to see take the field in April of 2017.
Everyone was watching football today when just past the 4:00 hour on the east coast, Carlos Correa hit his 20th home run of the season at Safeco Field, a moonshot to dead center in the Astros loss.
The Astros’ season is probably over, barring a two-week miracle. You step back and look at Correa’s season: 20 home runs, 92 RBI, 13 steals, 70+ runs, .270ish; and he’s really done fine. Huge things coming for both him, and the loaded Astros in 2017. I can’t wait already. They simply ran out of pitching in 2016. They’ve been throwing Larry, Curly, and Moe for the last three weeks.
It’s been plenty of fun watching this team, and more specifically this player develop this season. Two more weeks and it’s winter for most.
This is one of those I am sad to say I didn’t see. The Astros tried to lose it; a game they desperately needed. Mike Mahtook for shits sake homered to give Tampa a 4-3 lead late. The Astros have lost this type of game all season.
Tampa closer Alex Colome has been so solid this season, but to lead off the ninth he drew a tough assignment in facing Carlos Correa. Correa didn’t have a hit on the night, but blasted his 19th home run of the season. This was a textbook Correa home run, and it tied the game for greater things to come:
The very next hitter? Evan Gattis. Grinding his hooves in the box and hands around the bat, just looking for something straight and he got it. The ballgame ended on this swing:
The Astros are nestled in the thick of the Wildcard race in the American League as we’ve been saying all season. We’re rooting hard for them to make it because of that nucleus of talent. They’re three games out with a lot of teams to leapfrog. But their roster kept them a little more alive last night.
Yulieski Gurriel also got his first hit in Houston in this game.
There is NOTHING more dangerous in sports than a team that has been granted second life.
On Wednesday evening – the Astros gave up five quick runs – and then the monsoon rains came down and saved them by postponing the game before it was a game.
This lead to the ever-popular doubleheader on Thursday beginning in the early afternoon. And man, did the Astros take the opportunity to get healthy in the stat columns.
Carlos Correa had another huge day. He homered twice, drove in four, had four hits and four runs on the day. And here they are, with the second one being a certified moonshot.
Home Run 17:
Home Run 18:
Whenever a team takes two in a day, they just seem like they’ve got serious momentum. The Astros are now just two games out in the AL Wildcard race. So, not completely dead in the water.
The Astros really aren’t good. You look up and down their lineup, and it’s a bunch of guys hitting in the mid-to-low .200’s. But they have Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, and Carlos Correa within their first four hitters. That’s why you tune in each night at this point with Lance McCullers on the shelf.
Last night I went ahead and bet them because I just figured they were due. Carlos Correa came through with this big home run, his 16th of the season in the first inning to kick off scoring; and then nearly hit a grand slam later in the game to total four RBI.
They tried to give this away a few times – Miguel Sano went yard as did those pains in the asses Robbie Grossman and Brian Dozier – but Jose Altuve simply wouldn’t let them fail. He had four hits and his average is up to an astounding .361 on the year. He stole his 26th bag as well.
Credit Ken Giles the save and Mike Fiers (who can’t really get anyone out this year) with his eighth win.
Dallas Keuchel has been a real mess this year. Even at his best, he’s been pedestrian; stringing together some quality starts but being mostly underwhelming. The Astros have had a hard time getting it going this season because their Ace from last season simply hasn’t been present.
Last night, he shut out the Rangers to open the Astros’ biggest series of the season, striking out seven.
Carlos Correa and Jose Altuve had big knocks in this one. The Astros took the game 5-0 and moved to within five and a half games of first place in the AL West which is probably out of reach, and three and a half games of the AL Wildcard.
So I ran across a Fangraphs article from just last month that talks about Carlos Correa still appearing to be on a historic track. You read this article, and you realize Correa is going to be just fine despite a slow and steady 2016.
Correa’s ZiPS projections over the next five years, starting at 7.9 WAR next season and totaling more than 40 wins from ages 22 to 26.
Uh, wow. That can’t be right, can it?
I was shocked by the Correa forecast myself, and asked Dan to double check that there wasn’t an error in the code or something, given how bullish it is on Correa’s future. But Dan said the system just loves Correa, as the history of guys who can hit like this at 20/21 in the big leagues is almost universally fantastic. The age really is the key thing to keep in mind here; it’s easy to forget how big of a leap guys can make early on, and at 21, there’s still a lot of room for growth.
Carlos Correa is historically good, is approaching a number of plate appearances before age 22 that many Hall of Famers have already; and is on track to be A-Rod at age 22 and an inner-circle Hall of Famer possibly when it’s all said and done.
That said, he’s just been pretty good in his age-21 season. So you know, just projections and stuff. And injuries can happen. But it’s fun to watch him pile up the fWAR along the way.
This win was marked by the Astros getting to a season high nine wins over the .500 mark, and they’re now just 2.5 games behind those rotten Texas Rangers for first place in the AL West, with the record now sitting at 53-44.
Carlos Correa had a nice game, a couple of hits and a walk; one of the hits being this backside shot he covets so much. This is his 15th home run of the season:
It’s good to see Correa offering steady while not superstar production, and the Astros have really made a season of things despite folks like me having them left for dead in April.
Evan Gattis also hit two home runs and drove in four on the night.
It looked in doubt a couple times, but Carlos Correa and Luis Valbuena would not let Houston lose this game. The Athletics got five runs in the top of the 9th (four coming off closer Will Harris), and took a 9-7 lead.
But in the bottom of the ninth, Valbuena’s three-run homer off Ryan Madson would walk the Astros off a winner by a score of 10-9.
Correa touched up Daniel Mengden earlier in the game, and he got all of this one:
Correa had two hits and drove in three. Valbuena knocked in four. Jose Altuve had two hits because that’s what Altuve always seems to do. Give the win to Michael Feliz who is now an unlikely 6-1. The Astros trail the Boston Red Sox by one game in the Wildcard race.
The Houston Astros were on FOX Saturday baseball last evening taking on the World Champs. It’s been high time to extract a little revenge.
I didn’t get to see the game because I was at a wedding. The Astros hung nine runs on the Royals in the first inning on Friday evening and won 13-4. Once you click through the jump, you’ll see that George Springer had a triple AND a grand slam in the first inning alone. Then on Saturday with much of the nation watching, they put seven on the board in the second inning and won 13-5.
Continue reading The Astros are bludgeoning teams to death
I sat in my mom’s 90 degree house last night and watched the entirety of this one – the Astros have been red hot – and they’ve pulled back to .500 for the first time since they were at 1-1 the first two games of the season. The story obviously is Carlos Correa. He’s getting his season back on track and he had another big night last night.
Correa hit his 11th home run of the season, an impressive bomb; off a decent Hector Santiago to make it 2-1.
By the time Huston Street had loaded the bases in the bottom of the ninth for Correa again, you knew they were going to get theirs. Correa had a nice at-bat to battle the count full and then used right field as he loves to do. It was down for a two-run game winning single that won Houston the game 3-2.
Correa drove in all three Astros runs. He’s up to .263 on the season with 11 homers and 39 RBI. Houston is three games out of the AL Wildcard with a 36-36 even record.
Look out baseball world. Carlos Correa is wearing his pants low now, and he’s starting to pull the baseball again. He means business. You love Correa’s ability to use the entire field of course, but last season he was at his best when he was turning on balls and being aggressive early in the count with pitches down the middle.
He’s starting to do that this year. In the Astros 10-7 win over the Angels at Minute Maid Park tonight he doubled to the gap (I haven’t seen him hit a ball to this spot of a park this season until tonight) and then homered off the train tracks at the park. See for yourself.
This was Correa’s 10th home run of the season, and let us hope that he has about 15 more left in him. When he gets hot, it’s going to be with a fury.
The Astros are four games out in the Wildcard race in the American League and can still make a go of things if they play steady baseball from now until October.
With the lowly Reds coming to town, and coming off two big wins in St. Louis; you figured maybe the Houston Astros were getting things going a little bit.
The Reds had played a lot of innings of baseball down in steamy Atlanta, and the Astros had a day off and Lance McCullers on the bump. There was a good reason Houston came into the game as -240 moneyline favorites. But it wasn’t so.
The Reds got 5 and 2/3 really good innings from Jon “Barback” Lamb, with Lamb striking out 8 and leaving with the lead momentarily 2-1. Things were looking bleak for Houston, when Carlos Correa and Blake Wood became acquainted.
That tied the game at 2-2, and granted us some extra innings with nothing to do on a Friday night. Nothing better.
The Astros would go on to give this one away to the Redlegs – these two teams are just kind of poor like that. Astros lose in 11 innings, 3-2.
Baseball is so weird sometimes. All the time.
Carlos Correa has really been scuffling; so he was given the day off by Astros Manager A.J. Hinch. But then the game of baseball just kind of choose Correa today and said you’re going into the game. The game ran on 13 innings, and nearly ended on a Kole Calhoun walk-off homer that went off the top of the wall in right field. Instead, the Astros got out of a bases-loaded jam, and with two outs in the top of the 13th inning, Correa was called upon to pinch hit.
It’s a pop fly that just keeps going. That’s impressive power, because Correa didn’t know he got all of it but had a pretty good idea he got some of it. The end result is a pinch-hit three run home run, his eighth of the season. The Astros won the game 8-6 and have now won five of six without anyone in the world noticing.