Category Archives: How They’ll Finish

2014 Season Predictions: Mike Hllywa

angels+birthday+cake

Can you smell it? Can you feel it? baseball is almost here. Like most of you, I can tell without looking at a calendar that baseball season is around the corner. The thermometer starts pushing 50 degrees, the birds start digging in the yard looking for worms, my daughter says things like: “Daddy, can I wear a skirt to school today?” I can also tell by the reading material that becomes available. Every writer has a prediction and a forecast for what they expect to have happen this season (Mike Trout, 11 WAR, mark it down), and that’s what we are doing here. I’ve poured over the stats, other predictions and enlisted a shaman to help me see into the future (I also got him to make a Miguel Cabrera voodoo doll. Cue evil laugh track). These predictions are mine, all rights reserved, so let’s see what the magic eight ball has to say.

American League

East
1. Tampa Bay Rays
2. Boston Red Sox*
3. Baltimore Orioles
4. New York Yankees
5. Toronto Blue Jays

Every team suffers a World Series hangover, and Boston will be no different. The Orioles will start slow and then pick it up later in the year, but it won’t be enough to get them into the postseason dance. The Yankees will get a ton of free press with Derek Jeter retiring, but free press doesn’t equal wins.

Central
1. Detroit Tigers
2. Cleveland Indians
3. Kansas City Royals
4. Chicago White Sox
5. Minnesota Twins

For the foreseeable future, the Tigers own this division. Not because of otherworldly talent, but because this division is incredibly weak. The White Sox could surprise everyone and finish second in the division, but it’s a race for first loser among the bottom four teams in the AL Central.

West
1. Los Angeles Angels
2. Oakland Athletics*
3. Texas Rangers
4. Seattle Mariners
5. Houston AstroLOLs

This division is going to be an absolute dogfight. Every prediction model has the Angels, A’s and Rangers within four games of each other, and Fangraphs as all three within a one game spread. But with the Rangers uninspiring staff and Oakland being bitten by the Tommy John bug, my money is on the Halos returning to the top of the division.

National League

East
1. Washington Nationals
2. Atlanta Braves
3. Philadelphia Phillies
4. Miami Marlins
5. New York Mets

How sad is it that, even after both Kris Medlen and Brandon Beachy both go down with torn UCL’s, I still would have the Braves finishing ahead of the Phillies? The Marlins will creep out of the cellar, but that is more because the Mets won’t have Matt Harvey than it is because the Marlins are so talented.

Central
1. St. Louis Cardinals
2. Cincinnati Reds*
3. Pittsburgh Pirates
4. Milwaukee Brewers
5. Chicago Cubs

Almost identical to last year, except the Reds will jump over the Pirates late in the season and secure a Wild Card spot. Also, the Cubs will be officially eliminated in the first week of August.

West
1. Los Angeles Dodgers
2. Arizona Diamonbacks*
3. San Francisco Giants
4. Colorado Rockies
5. San Diego Padres

It is the Dodgers division to lose, but with D-Backs still being a young-ish team, and the Giants being a smidge old, this is how my medicine man says it is going to shake out. Beware the Rockies, though. Good young arms and a healthy Tulo and CarGo could make this team very very dangerous.

* – Denotes teams fortunate enough to play in the play-in game

PLAYOFFS

Wild Card Games

Arizona over Cincinnati
Boston over Oakland

Division Series

Tampa Bay over Boston
Detroit over Los Angeles
St. Louis over Washington
Los Angeles over Arizona

ALCS/NLCS

Tampa Bay over Detroit
Los Angeles over St. Louis

World Series

Tampa Bay over Los Angeles

It is a fool’s game to count out the Rays, and even though it isn’t an easy path for them to get to the brass ring, this is the year that they do it.

AL MVP – Mike Trout

The BBWAA finally gets off his back for not making it into the playoffs and rewards him with the hardware that he should’ve taken home the last two years. Not that I am, you know, biased or anything.

NL MVP – Yadier Molina

You could make the argument that Yadi should have won the MVP award last year. This year, he leaves nothing to chance and puts up a monster year that dwarfs all of his competitors.

AL Cy Young – Yu Darvish

Along with Darvish’s first CYA, he gets tapped for a “Yu Knows” endorsement campaign co-starring Bo Jackson.

NL Cy Young – Clayton Kershaw

Best. Pitcher. On. The. Planet. Period. Jose Fernandez will give him a run for his money, but Kershaw’s curveball impregnates too many women for award voters to not notice.

AL Rookie of the Year – Taijuan Walker

He’ll be behind Felix Hernandez and Hisashi Iwakuma, but with the big parks in the AL West, and his crazy-good cutter that gets mistaken for a slider, Walker is going to push his way passed the Xander Bogaerts’ and the Masahiro Tanaka’s of the world.

NL Rookie of the Year – Javier Baez

He won’t get called up until June (bold prediction), but when he does, he is going to turn the National League on it’s ear.

AL Comeback Player of the Year – Derek Jeter

I really want to put Albert Pujols’ name here, but, let’s be honest, if Jeter has even an OK season, after playing only 17 games last year, he may even walk away with a top-five finish in the MVP voting.

NL Comeback Player of the Year – Dan Uggla

You can file this one under bold predictions as well. But after dropping to a .179/.309/.362 slash line in 2013, no one in the National League has more to prove than Dan Uggla.

AL Bold Predictions

Houston Astros “only” lose 102 games thanks to their starting rotation being one of two in the AL West that doesn’t get hit by the injury bug.

Miguel Cabrera’s power numbers suffer without having Prince Fielder in the lineup behind him.

Derek Jeter is called in to pitch in the Yankees final home game of 2014. He lasts two-thirds of inning and gives up four runs and is pulled from the game by Mariano Rivera.

Mike Napoli is asked to shave his beard once its length reaches the top of his stomach. He donates the cut hair to locks of love.

NL Bold Predictions

Billy Hamilton steals 100 bases. And, to be honest, I would be comfortable taking the over on that prediction.

Javier Baez and Kris Bryant hit third and fourth in the same game.

Jose Fernandez hits his second career home run. This time, without incident.

In the same game, Yasiel Puig hits a home run, gets thrown out at second trying to leg out an infield double, throws a runner out at third and at home (in the same inning) and hits a peanut vendor in the second deck when a throw gets away from him.

2014 Season Predictions Post: Mevs

Bubble-Play

Opening Day is fast approaching – this year we’re counting baseball in Australia as the opener – even though this post traditionally rolls out the night before USA’s Opening Day. In honor of the special day which is similar to a second Christmas Eve, we make our picks on all things baseball so we can look back and see how everyone did at season’s end. Here is our 2013 predictions post. Last year was hit and miss, but we feel much more educated for this year. Here’s how I see things in baseball shaking out in 2014:

American League

AL East:
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox*
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays

AL Central:
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox*
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins

AL West:
Anaheim Angels
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
Oakland A’s
Houston Astros

National League

NL East:
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves*
Florida Marlins
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies

NL Central:
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates*
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs

NL West:
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona DiamondBacks
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres

* Denotes Wildcard teams

PLAYOFFS

Wild Card Games:
Boston Red Sox over Tampa Bay Rays
Atlanta Braves over Pittsburgh Pirates

Division Series:
Detroit Tigers over Boston Red Sox (in five games)
New York Yankees over Anaheim Angels (in four games)
Los Angeles Dodgers over Atlanta Braves (SWEEP)
Washington Nationals over St. Louis Cardinals (in five games)

ALCS / NLCS:
New York Yankees over Detroit Tigers (in six games)
Los Angeles Dodgers over Washington Nationals (in seven games)

World Series:
New York Yankees over Los Angeles Dodgers (in five games)

It was a tough pick when it came down to the final four, especially choosing between the Nationals and the Dodgers for National League supremacy. In the end, a chance at playing for the title continues to elude Bryce Harper in Washington and Yasiel Puig and the star-crossed Dodgers take Vin Scully to the grandest stage just in the nick of time. As fate will have it, the New York Yankees and their band of veterans take home a title in Derek Jeter’s final season; a World Championship in the year that my first child is born. A child that my wife will swear is going to be a Yankees fan – that’s not happening.

AL MVP
1. Mike Trout
2. Evan Longoria
3. Miguel Cabrera

Evan Longoria does *just* enough to pull votes away from Cabrera – and Mike Trout does the rest. Trout will be the undisputed ‘most valuable’ for 2014, and he won’t slow down one bit. He might not be able to show us anything that he hasn’t done already, but to do it three seasons in a row – and to have three Hall of Fame caliber seasons by the time you’re 22 is something I’m not sure this generation has seen in itself.

NL MVP
1. Paul Goldschmidt
2. Bryce Harper
3. Yasiel Puig

The MVP Goldschmidt has a team that misses the postseason entirely, but his numbers are so phenomenal that not enough voters can justify giving it to the guys who play for contenders.

AL CY YOUNG
1. Justin Verlander
2. Yu Darvish
3. Masahiro Tanaka

NL CY YOUNG
1. Stephen Strasburg
2. Jose Fernandez
3. Homer Bailey

AL Rookie of the Year
1. Xander Bogaerts
2. Masahiro Tanaka
3. George Springer

NL Rookie of the Year
1. Billy Hamilton
2. Oscar Taveras
3. Javier Baez

AL Comeback Player of the Year
1. Derek Jeter
2. Josh Hamilton
3. Neftali Feliz

NL Comeback Player of the Year
1. Chase Utley
2. Curtis Granderson
3. Wilson Ramos

AL Bold Predictions

1. The Boston Red Sox become Xander Bogaerts’ team. The new face of the franchise in Beantown hits .285 with 22 home runs and 85 RBI.

2. Robinson Cano begins his decline phase ever so slightly in Seattle by posting a solid but not spectacular season. No one notices because the Mariners begin to play a bit better and those who notice a small decline in numbers blame the ballpark.

3. Masahiro Tanaka does his best Yu Darvish impression all season long, mystifying hitters with over 200 strikeouts.

4. The kid from Millville, New Jersey posts a 1.011 OPS and hits a career-high 35 home runs. Then adds two more in his first postseason.

5. The Cleveland Indians regress to around .500 but aren’t entirely horrible because of Terry Francona’s leadership. Jason Kipnis takes the next step towards being a star.

NL Bold Predictions

1. Stephen Strasburg finally silences the critics with a 20-win season, winning the NL CY Young going away.

2. The Reds win either 84 or 85 games; wasting the best season of Jay Bruce’s career. Bruce hits 40 home runs and drives in 115 while hitting .275 with an OPS near .900 for the year. He finishes fourth in the MVP vote.

3. Nathan Eovaldi emerges as a secondary ace for the Miami Marlins, helping them to a surprising third-place finish in the division.

4. Yasiel Puig has an up and down regular season that has flashes brilliance and struggles – but explodes in the postseason to get the Dodgers back to the World Series for the first time since 1988. Puig’s hit in the seventh game of the NLCS eliminates Washington.

5. Bryce Harper has no DL stints and plays in 140 games. His final line is .295, 34 home runs, 90 RBI, 90 runs and 15 steals. He wins a gold glove in left field to the surprise of many and finishes second in the MVP vote.

2014 Season Predictions: Corey

While Spring Training is great, we’re at that point where I want to see full lineups, pitchers going 8 innings and actual stats that I care about. Well, we’re almost there folks. I just wrapped up a great weekend of fantasy drafts, my MLB.TV subscription is re-newed and I’m ready to stay up all night this Friday to watch the Diamondbacks and Dodgers kick off the season in the land down under. I can’t wait to see what 2014 has in store for us. What teams will take the next step forward? Will Bryce Harper become the superstar he’s capable of becoming? These are the things that will be answered over the next six months. The only things we know for sure so far are that Dr. James Andrews has a nice paycheck coming his way and that Mike Trout is still good at baseball. For everything else, here is how I see things shaking out.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

EAST
1. Boston Red Sox
2. Tampa Bay Rays*
3. New York Yankees
4. Toronto Blue Jays
5. Baltimore Orioles

CENTRAL
1. Detroit Tigers
2. Cleveland Indians*
3. Chicago White Sox
4. Kansas City Royals
5. Minnesota Twins

WEST
1. Texas Rangers
2. Los Angeles Angels
3. Seattle Mariners
4. Oakland Athletics
5. Houston Astros

NATIONAL LEAGUE

EAST
1. Washington Nationals
2. Atlanta Braves
3. Philadelphia Phillies
4. New York Mets
5. Miami Marlins

CENTRAL
1. St. Louis Cardinals
2. Cincinnati Reds*
3. Milwaukee Brewers
4. Pittsburgh Pirates
5. Chicago Cubs

WEST
1. Los Angeles Dodgers
2. San Francisco Giants*
3. Arizona Diamondbacks
4. San Diego Padres
5. Colorado Rockies

*Denotes Wild Card teams

PLAYOFFS

Wild Card Games:
Tampa Bay over Cleveland
Cincinnati over San Francisco

Division Series:
Detroit over Tampa Bay
Texas over Boston
Los Angeles over Cincinnati
St. Louis over Washington

ALCS / NLCS:
Detroit over Texas
Los Angeles over St. Louis

World Series:
Detroit Tigers over Los Angeles Dodgers in 7 games

Is this the year my Tigers finally get over the hump? I sure hope so and I like their pitching staff in the playoffs enough to do it. Even without Prince, the lineup will still put up a lot of runs and Joe Nathan is in town to give them a more consistent 9th inning arm. It won’t be an easy road but I think I might finally see the World Series trophy come back to the Motor City.

AL MVP
1. Mike Trout (I love Miggy, but there will be no argument after Trout’s season)
2. Miguel Cabrera
3. Prince Fielder

NL MVP
1. Hanley Ramirez (If he can stay healthy, big year coming for a World Series Contender)
2. Joey Votto
3. Bryce Harper

AL CY YOUNG
1. Yu Darvish
2. Justin Verlander
3. Chris Sale

NL CY YOUNG
1. Jose Fernandez (The young horse knocks the king off his throne)
2. Clayton Kershaw
3. Stephen Strasburg

AL Rookie of the Year
1. George Springer
2. Nick Castellanos (Love the way he’s swinging the bat)
3. Masahiro Tanaka (I’ll likely regret not have Bogaerts on here)

NL Rookie of the Year
1. Oscar Taveras (Hope he’s healthy enough for a shot to win this)
2. Billy Hamilton
3. Javier Baez

AL Comeback Player of the Year
1. Albert Pujols (He hit .258 last year and battled injuries, I think we see him get back to his 2012 numbers)
2. Derek Jeter (Most likely to receive this award if he goes out on a solid note)
3. Phil Hughes (This should go under bold predictions but maybe something clicks in Target Field)

NL Comeback Player of the Year
1. Matt Kemp (Obvious choice if he stays on the field)
2. Giancarlo Stanton (I hope he stays intact for a full year because there’s nothing better than watching him hammer one out of the atmosphere)
3. Dan Haren (3.67 xFIP shows he wasn’t as bad in ‘13 as you’d think. Great command and now in a pitcher’s park, I like his chances for a real good year.)

AL Bold Predictions

1. Jose Abreu leads AL in HR with 38.

2. New Yankee Jacoby Ellsbury hits more home runs than former Yankee Robinson Cano.

3. George Springer joins the 20-20 club in just 4 months of playing time.

4. The Tigers have 5 hitters that hit .300+ leading to their World Series (Miggy, Martinez, Castellanos, Hunter and Jackson) – Hey, it’s bold predictions…

5. Derek Jeter hits .317 and decides to come back after the season. (And he doesn’t give back any gifts he was given during his final season farwell tour)

NL Bold Predictions

1. Tulo and Cargo stay healthy, play a combined 300 games and combine for 70 HR.

2. Billy Hamilton (92 SB) steals 25 more bases than Reds team total of 2013.

3. Oscar Tavares plays in over 100 games for Cardinals and bats .315.

4. Jose Fernandez strikes out 266 batters, more than anyone in the NL the last 10 years.

5. Wilson Ramos leads all NL catchers with 27 HR.

Diamond Hoggers’ 2013 Season Predictions Post (Mevs)

Big_League_Chew_bubble_gum

Tonight is Opening Night of the 2013 MLB season. How hard is that to believe? In honor of the special day which is similar to a second Christmas Eve, we make our picks on all things baseball so we can look back and see how everyone did at season’s end. Here’s our 2012 predictions. Last year was hit and miss, but we feel much more educated for this year. Here’s how I see things in baseball shaking out in 2013:

American League

AL East:
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays*
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles

AL Central:
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox*
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins

AL West:
Anaheim Angels
Texas Rangers
Oakland A’s
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros

National League

NL East:
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves*
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
Florida Marlins

NL Central:
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals*
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs

NL West:
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
Arizona DiamondBacks
Colorado Rockies

* Denotes Wildcard teams

Playoffs:
Wildcard Games:
Toronto Blue Jays over Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves over St. Louis Cardinals

Wild Card Round:
Detroit Tigers over Tampa Bay Rays
Anaheim Angels over Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers over Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals over Atlanta Braves

ALCS/NLCS:
Anaheim Angels over Detroit Tigers in 7 games
Washington Nationals over Los Angeles Dodgers in 6 games

World Series:
Anaheim Angels over Washington Nationals in 5 games

AL MVP: Evan Longoria, Tampa Bay Rays
NL MVP: Bryce Harper, Washington Nationals
AL CY YOUNG: Max Scherzer, Detroit Tigers
NL CY YOUNG: Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers
AL Comeback Player of the Year: Eric Hosmer, Kansas City Royals
NL Comeback Player of the Year: Ryan Howard, Philadelphia Phillies
AL Manager of the Year: Robin Ventura, Chicago White Sox
NL Manager of the Year: Davey Johnson, Washington Nationals
AL Rookie of the Year: Wil Myers, Tampa Bay Rays
NL Rookie of the Year: Jean Segura, Milwaukee Brewers Julio Teheran, Atlanta Braves
Team that will most resemble Cinderella: Pittsburgh Pirates
AL Manager first fired/hot-seat: Ron Gardenhire, Minnesota Twins
NL Manager first fired/hot-seat: Terry Collins, New York Mets
AL Team Worst Record: Houston Astros
NL Team Worst Record: Florida Marlins

Other Notable Predictions:

Hardball Talk

ESPN

Sports Illustrated

FanGraphs

CBS Sports

Baseball Prospectus

Sporting News

2013 Season Predictions

Miguel Cabrera will take home a wealth of hardware this year, leading the Tigers to their first championship since 1984.

Tonight is Opening Night of the 2013 MLB season. How long have we waited since the Giants raised the World Series trophy last year?  I’m not exactly why it’s fun to do predictions.  Things will change players will get injured and these prediction will turn to shit.  But what if they don’t?  That’s why we do it.  For the slim chance at the end of the year that you’ve got it all right.  Here’s our 2012 predictions.  My predictions may be worst than most, but they’re mine – and they’re better than yours.  Enjoy.

American League

AL East:
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees*
Baltimore Oriole
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox

AL Central:
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins

AL West:
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers*
Oakland A’s
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros

National League

NL East:
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins

NL Central:
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals*
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs

NL West:
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants*
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres

* Denotes Wildcard teams

Playoffs:
Wildcard Games:
Texas Rangers over New York Yankees
San Francisco Giants over St. Louis Cardinals

Wild Card Round:
Detroit Tigers over Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays over Los Angeles Angels
Cincinnati Reds over Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants over Washington Nationals

ALCS/NLCS:
Detroit Tigers over Los Angeles Angels
San Francisco Giants over Cincinnati Reds

World Series:
Detroit Tigers over San Francisco Giants

Yes. These are the same teams that made it last year. I think Detroit has the most talent – even in a loaded AL and will easily get to set up their 4 man rotation for the playoffs. The only weakness they really have is defense a bit and a back end guy.  The Giants pick makes me nervous, but I think they’ll go on another run.  They have the pitching to do it and have done a good job coming up with a decent lineup for the post season.  Madison Bumgarner will take another step forward and lead them here.

Season Awards…after the jump. Continue reading

Diamond Hoggers 2012 Season Predictions Post

Tonight is Opening Night of the 2012 MLB season. How hard is that to believe? In honor of the special day which is similar to a second Christmas Eve, we make our picks on all things baseball so we can look back and see how everyone did at season’s end. Here’s our 2011 predictions. Last year was hit and miss, but we feel much more educated for this year. Here’s how I see things in baseball shaking out in 2012:

American League

AL East:
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays*
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles

AL Central:
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins

AL West:
Anaheim Angels
Texas Rangers*
Seattle Mariners
Oakland A’s

National League

NL East:
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
New York Mets

NL Central:
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers*
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
Houston Astros

NL West:
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies*
Arizona DiamondBacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres

* Denotes Wildcard teams

Playoffs:
Wildcard Games:
Texas Rangers over Toronto Blue Jays
Colorado Rockies over Milwaukee Brewers

Wild Card Round:
New York Yankees over Texas Rangers
Anaheim Angels over Detroit Tigers
Cincinnati Reds over Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants over Miami Marlins

ALCS/NLCS:
Anaheim Angels over New York Yankees in 6 games
San Francisco Giants over Cincinnati Reds in 6 games

World Series:
Anaheim Angels over San Francisco Giants in 5 games

AL MVP: Albert Pujols, Anaheim Angels
NL MVP: Jay Bruce, Cincinnati Reds
AL CY YOUNG: Jered Weaver, Anaheim Angels
NL CY YOUNG: Madison Bumgarner, San Francisco Giants
AL Comeback Player of the Year: Adam Dunn, Chicago White Sox
NL Comeback Player of the Year: Ike Davis, New York Mets
AL Manager of the Year: John Farrell, Toronto Blue Jays
NL Manager of the Year: Ozzie Guillen, Miami Marlins
AL Rookie of the Year: Yu Darvish, Texas Rangers
NL Rookie of the Year: Bryce Harper, Washington Nationals
Team that will most resemble Cinderella: Toronto Blue Jays
AL Manager first fired/hot-seat: Ron Gardenhire, Minnesota Twins
NL Manager first fired/hot-seat: Brad Mills, Houston Astros
AL Team Worst Record: Minnesota Twins
NL Team Worst Record: Houston Astros

Other Notable Predictions:

Hardball Talk

Jayson Stark

Sports Illustrated

ESPN

Yahoo Sports (Tim Brown, Steve Henson, Jeff Passan)

Scott Miller, CBS Sports

Fake Teams

FanGraphs

Diamond Hoggers 2011 Season Predictions Post

As part of our full-service primer for the 2011 season, we make our picks on everything so we can look back and see how everyone did at season’s end. Here’s our 2010 predictions. Last year was hit and miss, but we feel much more educated for this year. We’ve really studied up and feel confident as ever about how things will shake out. Here’s how I see things in baseball shaking down for the following season:

American League

AL East:

Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees*
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles

AL Central:
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians

AL West:
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
Oakland A’s

National League

NL East:
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
Florida Marlins
Washington Nationals
New York Mets

NL Central:
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds*
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
Houston Astros

NL West:
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona DiamondBacks
San Diego Padres

* Denotes wildcard teams

Playoffs:
Chicago White Sox over New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox over Texas Rangers
Cincinnati Reds over Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies over Milwaukee Brewers

ALCS/NLCS:
Colorado Rockies over Cincinnati Reds
Chicago White Sox over Boston Red Sox

World Series:
Colorado Rockies over Chicago White Sox in 4 games

AL MVP: Adrian Gonzalez, Boston Red Sox
NL MVP: Ryan Braun, Milwaukee Brewers
AL CY YOUNG: Jon Lester, Boston Red Sox
NL CY YOUNG: Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers
AL Comeback Player of the Year: Ben Zobrist, Tampa Bay Rays
NL Comeback Player of the Year: Chipper Jones, Atlanta Braves
AL Manager of the Year: Ozzie Guillen, Chicago White Sox
NL Manager of the Year: Jim Tracy, Colorado Rockies
AL Rookie of the Year: Jeremy Hellickson, Tampa Bay Rays
NL Rookie of the Year: Aroldis Chapman, Cincinnati Reds
Team that will most resemble Cinderella: Kansas City Royals (above .500 finish)
AL Manager first fired/hot-seat: Bob Geren, Oakland A’s
NL Manager first fired/hot-seat: Terry Collins, New York Mets
AL Team Worst Record: Cleveland Indians
NL Team Worst Record: New York Mets

Other Predictions from Notable Sources:

Sports Illustrated: Tom Verducci

SI’s Expert Picks (Heyman goes into detail)

ESPN Experts Picks/Awards (They never disappoint. Just so mainstream with everything.)

ESPN SweetSpot’s NL Central All-Stars

CBS Sportsline: Scott Miller/Other Experts

Hardball Talk

Jayson Stark – ESPN

New York Times: AL/NL

Jeff Pearlman: Picks the REDS to go to the World Series

Ken Rosenthal: Reds win the NL Central, Braves win the NL Pennant

St. Louis Post Dispatch: Reds heavy favorites

Yahoo (Brown, Henson, Passan): Jay Bruce picked to lead the NL in Home Runs by Passan. Very cool predictions.

Washington Post: Reds are picked to win the Central

Miwaukee JS: 6 of 8 writers pick the Reds to win the NL Central

Other stops in blogdome:

Bullpen Talk

Through the Fence Baseball

MLB Dirt

Southside Sox

Disciples of Uecker

Hardball Times

Double G Sports

Long Live Shea Stadium

Sully Baseball

The Golden Sombrero

Buddy, I hope you’re right

Here’s Mick, who says that “1975–greatest World Series Ever”, has devised a theorem that says the Cincinnati Reds are going to win the World Series in 2011. He’s also teaching some type of class in a Reds alternate Joey Votto jersey.

Does it all add up? We tend to disagree, but for every dream there’s a flock of dreamers. If Mick’s prediction comes true–we owe him a scotch and a couple cigars at the very least. Shine on you crazy diamond.

CAIRO Projects the Reds to win the NL Central

No, not that Cairo.

CAIRO is predicting that the Cincinnati Reds go about 87 and 75 on the year; good for a little bit less than 0.6 better than teams like the Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals. Right now, they like the Cubbies to place 4th in the division.

There’s still plenty of time for things to change, but as of the new roster updates of February 8th, CAIRO projects a 41.8% chance of the Reds making it to the playoffs. Basically, the Reds, Brewers, and Cardinals are all seen as equal with a very slight edge going to the Reds.

If you don’t know what CAIRO is, just know that it’s a formula (not an aging utility man) used to make projections. They’re conservative and typically pretty accurate.

Diamond Hoggers 2010 Season Predictions Post

As part of our full-service primer for the 2010 season, we make our picks on everything so we can look back and see how everyone did at season’s end. Here’s our 2009 predictions, not that bad. Last year was hit and miss, but we feel much more educated for this year. We’ve really studied up and feel confident as ever about how things will shake out. Here’s how I see things in baseball for the following season:

American League

AL East:
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays*
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays

AL Central:
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals

AL West:
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland A’s

National League

NL East:
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves*
Florida Marlins
New York Mets
Washington Nationals

NL Central:
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
Houston Astros
Pittsburgh Pirates

NL West:
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona DiamondBacks
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres

* Denotes wildcard teams

Playoffs:
New York Yankees over Texas Rangers

Tampa Bay Rays over Minnesota Twins
Atlanta Braves over St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers over Philadelphia Phillies

ALCS/NLCS:
Los Angeles Dodgers over Atlanta Braves
Tampa Bay Rays over New York Yankees

World Series:
Tampa Bay Rays over Los Angeles Dodgers in 5 games

AL MVP: Evan Longoria, Tampa Bay Rays
NL MVP: Albert Pujols, St. Louis Cardinals
AL CY YOUNG: Felix Hernandez, Seattle Mariners
NL CY YOUNG: Chad Billingsley, Los Angeles Dodgers
AL Comeback Player of the Year: Grady Sizemore, Cleveland Indians
NL Comeback Player of the Year: Chipper Jones, Atlanta Braves
AL Manager of the Year: Ron Washington, Texas Rangers
NL Manager of the Year: Bobby Cox, Atlanta Braves
AL Rookie of the Year: Austin Jackson, Detroit Tigers
NL Rookie of the Year: Jason Heyward, Atlanta Braves
Team that will most resemble Cinderella: Arizona DiamondBacks
AL Manager first fired/hot-seat: Ozzie Guillen, Chicago White Sox
NL Manager first fired/hot-seat: Bud Black, San Diego Padres
AL Team Worst Record: Oakland A’s
NL Team Worst Record: Pittsburgh Pirates

ESPN Experts make their 2010 Picks: The dolts make their annual picks for the 2010 season. Of course, you’ll see plenty of representation for the mainstream teams. At least no one picked the Mets. John Weisman picked the Reds to win the NL Central. Our picks are coming up tomorrow. [ESPN]
Edit: Here are the award picks

Sports Illustrated on the NL Central

http://i.cdn.turner.com/si/.element/swf/4.1/global/cvp/si_embed.swf?context=embed&videoId=032610.ir_verducci_NLcentral

If you have not yet seen Sports Illustrated’s NL Central Preview and you’re a Reds fan, you aren’t missing out on much.

The fellas over at SI were kind enough to predict a 3rd place finish from our boys, of course finishing behing the mainstream Cubs and Cardinals.

They were nice enough to include a few sentences about us, which is more then the Brewers and Pirates received. So we’ll give them credit there. You still have to say that Sports Illustrated’s writers are so insanely bottled when it comes to their predictions. No one ever goes out on a limb or changes the field much from the year before. God forbid one of these guys had the DBacks winning the National League pennant for some variability.

Anyways, in case they’re all wrong; we’ve got them on record here.

Most of ESPN picks the Reds to finish 3rd or 4th

In case you haven’t seen over on ESPN they’ve got the Reds season preview up. The Baseball Tonight cast basically picks the Reds to finish 3rd, 4th, and 5th. Then that turd Buck Showalter predicted us to finish in the cellar. Hey Buck, get over it dude. You didn’t get hired here and Dusty Baker did. We’re not a cellar team–no matter how little we hit we’re more loaded then the Pirates. Christ crumpets!
Then Aaron Boone, God love him; he picked us to finish 1st in the division. He’s nuts. There’s no chance of that happening I wouldn’t think.
You just have to love these butt-plugs on ESPN though. every year it’s the same several teams they have winning it all. Everyone is afraid to go out on a limb. No one is an individual. No one can think for themselves or make a unique prediction. That’s why people like to read blogs. You’ll be at least a little impressed with our predictions this year, it’s not the same playoff field from last season that’s for sure.

Joe Posnanski doesn’t give Cincinnati any respect

Joe Posnanski has written some good stories for Sports Illustrated, his write-up on Zach Greinke last season was a really good read. Posnanski is generally considered one of the most esteemed baseball writers out there today. He might be the next Tom Verducci; who’s a pretty good baseball writer.

And on JoeBlog he gives his own fresh and unique MLB takes. Today’s gives you early MLB predictions.

I always have loved seeing these season prediction threads, and we’ll have our own on Diamond Hoggers soon enough. But it’s going to be interesting to see how the all-knowing Joe Pos comes out with some of his predictions. Namely, the NL Central.

He calls Colby Rasmus and Andrew Mccutchen the most exciting young players in the division. And he says Reds will finish 77-85 and struggle to score runs. And of all the good young arms we have, he decides to go mainstream with Wainwright (agreed), Carpenter, and Ryan Dempster 1-2-and 3.

Little respect from an Ohio guy.

Hopefully he’s as accurate on this as he was about the Cleveland Cavaliers last season. Oh, wait.