From reading this article over at hard working Jays Journal, I remembered that STEAMER projected Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to be one of baseball’s top-10 hitters in the game prior to the 2020 season.
However, we all know what happened. Guerrero Jr. showed some flashes of the greatness to come but wore down as the season went on. Now, Jays Journal examines his projections released across the board for the 2020 season.
— Jays Journal (@JaysJournal) January 3, 2020
See what you think of these numbers.
.294./363/.501, 25 HR, 83 RBI over 539 at-bats, 3.3 fWAR
Depth Charts (Fangraphs)
.295/.363/.501, 25 HR, 84 RBI over 546 at-bats, 3.6 fWAR
.296/.359/.496, 25 HR, 93 RBI over 558 at-bats
.277/.347/.462, 16 HR, 63 RBI, over 411 at-bats
Baseball-reference is one of my favorite sites, but they don’t show much moxy here; simply going with what he did last season.
Still – a blend of the other three makes you realize that if he gets north of 500 at-bats – he’s going to make some sweet music. Equally important is that all three of those rather conservative projection systems see him getting on base at a nice .360ish clip in what will be his age-21 season.
If this happens, it’s going to be a fun summer. Without a doubt, he’s one of the talents entering the 2020 season that we can’t wait to cover the intricacies of.