Let’s have an early look at his 2017 STEAMER projections, released a few days ago on his Fangraphs page.
STEAMER to me; has always been a bit conservative. I mean, it doesn’t really go out on a limb. It projects Mike Trout for 21 home runs and other absurd things that are well below a player’s ceiling. However, it serves as a good baseline for when the bottom falls out of a guy (think Jay Bruce) or when players just have an awful season blip on the radar (Bryce Harper, Andrew McCutchen). But yeah, overall it’s just too conservative.
Corey Seager’s 2017 season STEAMER projection:
152 games, .285 average, .816 OPS, 22 Home Runs, 83 runs, 77 RBI, 4 stolen bases, 5.1 fWAR
Again, in true Steamer fashion; we see a young player who fails to improve upon anything. I guess this is just as likely as more improvement upon 2016 or a repeat season. A five-plus WAR season is nothing pedestrian, so if Seager is able to have a season like this in 2017, he will absolutely be heralded as one of baseball’s best players.
In some circles, he’s already held in such regard. But by the end of 2017 if Seager can meet the conservative expectations of this projection system; there will be little doubt as to who is the finest young shortstop in the game.
If you want to train your son to be the next Corey Seager, check out Baseball Training tips.